My Presidential Prediction

Republican nominee: Rudy Giuliani

Democratic nominee: Barack Obama

Election Day results:

Rudy Giuliani, 51%
Barack Obama, 42%
Jim Gilchrist, 7%

The conservatives' glory years are over. Abortion is still legal and more conservatives are realizing that. Bill Clinton did not take our guns away and more conservatives are realizing that. In short, more conservatives are less conservative.

I give Gilchrist, the founder of the Minuteman Project, which seeks to put civilians on the Mexican border to curb illegal immigration, 7% because I think there are enough conservatives who will be unwilling to vote for Giuliani, who is publicly a social liberal. I think a number of conservatives will vote for Giuliani as a better choice than Obama, but there will be a number - just as the liberals who voted for Ralph Nader in 2000 - who won't give in and will choose someone more conservative. Gilchrist doesn't have a chance, but he probably has more name recognition than any other third party or independent candidate - certainly than any other conservative third party or independent candidate.

I'm not excited about the race this year. However, I will follow it. I'll keep a running list of all candidates running in the right column of this blog. They are listed in order of who I think has the best chance to win.

Come back for more if you're interested in my take on '08.